Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Transportation and Warehousing Employment Growth
Across Texas Counties
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
Texas:
2010-2022 = 6.45%
2022 = 9.73%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of transportation and warehousing employment growth across all of Texas' 254 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Texas Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the transportation and warehousing employment growth of Texas' 254 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Transportation and Warehousing
Employment Growth
Texas:
2010-2022 = 6.45%
2022 = 9.73%
This figure displays the 254 counties of Texas as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the transportation and warehousing employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term transportation and warehousing employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 6.45%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 6.45% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (6.45%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 35 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 92 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 31 counties whose most recent (2022) transportation and warehousing employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (9.73%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 96 counties whose transportation and warehousing employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 254 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 6.45% over 2010-2022 and 9.73% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (6.45%) and near-term (9.73%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (6.45%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Texas average (9.73%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (6.45%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (9.73%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (6.45%) and near-term (9.73%).
   
 
Summary of Texas' 254 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(9.73%)
Above
(9.73%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(6.45%)
17
18
35
Below
(6.45%)
79
13
92
 
96
31
127
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Texas:
2010-2022 = 6.45%
2022 = 9.73%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Texas counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Texas' average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 6.45%) as well as near-term (2022 = 9.73%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Texas' 254 counties, just 18 (7%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Texas:
2010-2022 = 6.45%
2022 = 9.73%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 17 Texas counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 6.45%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 9.73%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 17 (7%) of Texas' 254 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Texas:
2010-2022 = 6.45%
2022 = 9.73%
This figure shows the distribution of the 13 Texas counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 6.45%), while they outpaced Texas' average near-term (2022 = 9.73%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Texas' 254 counties, only 5% (13) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Texas:
2010-2022 = 6.45%
2022 = 9.73%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 79 Texas counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 6.45%) as well as near-term (2022 = 9.73%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual transportation and warehousing employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
31% of Texas' counties, 79 of 254, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Texas
Transportation and Warehousing Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
11
12.83
 
3
43.85
1,286
 
19
8.76
 
21
16.04
70,709
 
24
7.34
 
10
25.00
75
 
8
13.69
 
38
11.95
26,605
 
17
9.41
 
4
41.75
438
 
28
7.06
 
34
12.35
191
 
27
7.17
 
50
9.81
173,113
 
9
13.66
 
33
12.42
35,982
 
7
14.20
 
16
19.50
27,341
 
35
6.46
 
25
15.12
8,810
 
3
17.69
 
12
22.67
11,322
 
25
7.29
 
13
22.51
751
 
6
14.29
 
14
20.77
8,523
 
29
6.92
 
31
13.21
9,237
 
14
10.30
 
37
12.11
16,141
 
1
22.24
 
51
9.80
829
 
13
10.86
 
29
14.07
44,027
 
5
15.09
 
36
12.11
17,903
Slipping Counties
 
26
7.28
 
96
5.37
569
 
31
6.61
 
134
1.87
1,091
 
12
11.63
 
80
6.98
644
 
15
9.82
 
52
9.51
1,221
 
21
8.38
 
65
8.45
7,209
 
4
16.71
 
105
4.60
455
 
2
19.49
 
88
6.00
6,926
 
20
8.44
 
64
8.47
986
 
23
7.46
 
175
-11.78
307
 
18
8.82
 
168
-3.73
155
 
16
9.65
 
97
5.18
8,122
 
32
6.53
 
94
5.68
465
 
33
6.53
 
165
-2.97
98
 
22
7.95
 
67
8.18
635
 
30
6.85
 
58
9.06
2,238
 
34
6.51
 
112
4.19
3,184
 
10
13.60
 
159
-1.31
678
Gaining Counties
 
46
5.82
 
8
27.75
267
 
80
3.22
 
35
12.14
582
 
57
5.10
 
48
10.30
33,503
 
72
3.71
 
39
11.78
4,791
 
79
3.27
 
27
14.91
632
 
39
6.29
 
44
11.05
382
 
68
3.98
 
41
11.48
1,525
 
64
4.27
 
45
10.73
320
 
54
5.20
 
22
15.83
6,388
 
101
1.87
 
47
10.48
1,149
 
102
1.82
 
32
12.61
1,241
 
70
3.74
 
1
53.49
330
 
50
5.52
 
19
16.29
764
Lagging Counties
 
90
2.73
 
122
3.20
3,323
 
100
1.92
 
170
-4.67
1,757
 
36
6.37
 
75
7.44
1,545
 
118
-0.27
 
62
8.57
190
 
41
6.09
 
77
7.29
10,219
 
115
0.27
 
141
0.81
1,997
 
43
5.96
 
101
4.99
8,547
 
110
1.00
 
173
-5.88
80
 
81
3.14
 
176
-19.41
523
 
73
3.69
 
90
5.81
455
 
82
3.06
 
69
7.98
9,487
 
99
1.95
 
164
-2.91
400
 
111
0.76
 
121
3.39
792
 
37
6.37
 
156
-0.76
131
 
125
-2.85
 
160
-2.16
136
 
105
1.69
 
136
1.79
740
 
74
3.55
 
163
-2.48
275
 
92
2.57
 
92
5.74
424
 
45
5.83
 
74
7.46
8,124
 
76
3.53
 
114
4.11
911
 
95
2.38
 
119
3.64
399
 
120
-0.64
 
113
4.18
374
 
65
4.26
 
102
4.92
640
 
62
4.74
 
55
9.22
2,523
 
109
1.08
 
130
2.15
1,851
 
93
2.52
 
68
8.15
650
 
59
4.90
 
60
8.79
233,911
 
83
3.02
 
135
1.86
1,096
 
42
6.04
 
99
5.13
82
 
86
2.89
 
109
4.25
908
 
52
5.22
 
100
5.07
22,041
 
113
0.41
 
125
2.82
546
 
97
2.14
 
140
0.92
987
 
117
-0.02
 
106
4.44
235
 
104
1.73
 
72
7.58
142
 
77
3.48
 
107
4.42
6,798
 
61
4.74
 
89
5.99
6,105
 
78
3.27
 
126
2.80
330
 
112
0.73
 
73
7.52
829
 
122
-1.22
 
146
0.00
177
 
38
6.30
 
83
6.76
2,148
 
63
4.33
 
177
-24.57
307
 
96
2.19
 
120
3.59
1,817
 
88
2.78
 
127
2.60
79
 
123
-2.11
 
98
5.17
305
 
71
3.74
 
116
3.85
647
 
56
5.14
 
129
2.27
90
 
103
1.76
 
132
2.00
409
 
69
3.82
 
70
7.73
8,385
 
108
1.14
 
138
1.50
406
 
126
-3.13
 
154
-0.64
468
 
47
5.79
 
145
0.20
3,066
 
75
3.55
 
71
7.72
781
 
67
4.03
 
66
8.39
5,413
 
98
2.13
 
133
1.94
210
 
85
2.89
 
91
5.74
129
 
114
0.36
 
104
4.63
113
 
107
1.22
 
123
3.00
756
 
94
2.43
 
158
-1.27
543
 
55
5.17
 
57
9.09
8,331
 
127
-3.15
 
169
-3.83
176
 
53
5.21
 
144
0.27
1,116
 
40
6.11
 
78
7.19
141,256
 
60
4.76
 
81
6.89
2,933
 
84
2.92
 
161
-2.24
131
 
58
5.08
 
93
5.71
259
 
89
2.77
 
108
4.35
696
 
121
-1.20
 
139
1.10
1,192
 
106
1.62
 
63
8.52
726
 
51
5.49
 
86
6.28
2,117
 
49
5.63
 
82
6.79
849
 
48
5.72
 
117
3.85
378
 
66
4.24
 
115
3.91
24,979
 
91
2.68
 
167
-3.65
978
 
116
0.10
 
137
1.64
124
 
87
2.86
 
85
6.32
185
 
44
5.85
 
61
8.58
620
 
124
-2.53
 
53
9.49
473
 
119
-0.53
 
143
0.49
205
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
405
 
U
U
 
153
-0.62
160
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
18
16.37
917
 
U
U
 
171
-4.92
116
 
U
U
 
20
16.10
310
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
103
4.76
242
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
146
0.00
6
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
6
32.92
323
 
U
U
 
54
9.41
221
 
U
U
 
131
2.08
98
 
U
U
 
84
6.73
111
 
U
U
 
172
-5.45
295
 
U
U
 
46
10.53
3,631
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
17
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
15
19.60
6,768
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
83
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
37
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
152
-0.60
331
 
U
U
 
43
11.11
20
 
U
U
 
17
18.97
69
 
U
U
 
118
3.82
136
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
146
0.00
60
 
U
U
 
30
13.59
117
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
1,127
 
U
U
 
S
S
93
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
56
9.11
419
 
U
U
 
142
0.54
373
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
162
-2.48
118
 
U
U
 
24
15.28
83
 
U
U
 
11
22.81
140
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
2
45.00
58
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
28
14.29
24
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
95
5.62
545
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
146
0.00
1
 
U
U
 
49
10.00
11
 
U
U
 
S
S
636
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
5
33.33
4
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
7
32.73
146
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
76
7.34
234
 
U
U
 
111
4.20
248
 
U
U
 
128
2.56
120
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
61
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
110
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
110
4.21
892
 
U
U
 
23
15.79
22
 
U
U
 
79
7.02
244
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
87
6.11
973
 
U
U
 
157
-1.16
171
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
236
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
3,381
 
U
U
 
26
15.00
23
 
U
U
 
174
-7.41
100
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
3,024
 
U
U
 
9
27.27
98
 
U
U
 
155
-0.75
132
 
U
U
 
59
8.82
395
 
U
U
 
42
11.37
1,058
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
115
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
146
0.00
27
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
155
 
U
U
 
S
S
61
 
U
U
 
166
-3.08
378
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
40
11.67
4,450
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
146
0.00
309
 
U
U
 
S
S
1,823
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
124
2.88
143
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
6.45
 
9.73
1,135,209
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5.81
 
8.06
11,473,500
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_510800_LSGL
 
   
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