Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Farm Employment Growth
Across Texas Counties
Farm
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Farm
Employment Growth
Texas:
2010-2022 = 0.13%
2022 = 1.61%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of farm employment growth across all of Texas' 254 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Texas Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the farm employment growth of Texas' 254 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Farm
Employment Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Farm
Employment Growth
Texas:
2010-2022 = 0.13%
2022 = 1.61%
This figure displays the 254 counties of Texas as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual farm employment growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the farm employment growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term farm employment growth exceeded the statewide average of 0.13%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 0.13% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual farm employment growth rate trailed the statewide average (0.13%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 109 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 145 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 117 counties whose most recent (2022) farm employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (1.61%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 137 counties whose farm employment growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 254 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 0.13% over 2010-2022 and 1.61% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual farm employment growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (0.13%) and near-term (1.61%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual farm employment growth rate exceeded the statewide average (0.13%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Texas average (1.61%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual farm employment growth rate fell below the statewide average (0.13%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (1.61%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual farm employment growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (0.13%) and near-term (1.61%).
   
 
Summary of Texas' 254 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(1.61%)
Above
(1.61%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(0.13%)
52
57
109
Below
(0.13%)
85
60
145
 
137
117
254
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Texas:
2010-2022 = 0.13%
2022 = 1.61%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Texas counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Texas' average annual farm employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.13%) as well as near-term (2022 = 1.61%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Texas' 254 counties, 57 (22%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Texas:
2010-2022 = 0.13%
2022 = 1.61%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 52 Texas counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual farm employment growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.13%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 1.61%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 52 (20%) of Texas' 254 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Texas:
2010-2022 = 0.13%
2022 = 1.61%
This figure shows the distribution of the 60 Texas counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual farm employment growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 0.13%), while they outpaced Texas' average near-term (2022 = 1.61%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Texas' 254 counties, 24% (60) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Texas:
2010-2022 = 0.13%
2022 = 1.61%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 85 Texas counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual farm employment growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 0.13%) as well as near-term (2022 = 1.61%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual farm employment growth rate over 2010-2022.
33% of Texas' counties, 85 of 254, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Texas
Farm Employment Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
22
0.87
 
39
3.50
207
 
12
1.02
 
65
2.63
117
 
103
0.16
 
84
2.26
634
 
80
0.33
 
114
1.66
306
 
15
0.96
 
91
2.11
145
 
62
0.47
 
70
2.51
245
 
46
0.59
 
30
3.90
1,947
 
95
0.22
 
56
2.91
636
 
47
0.59
 
6
6.24
1,141
 
17
0.94
 
36
3.65
284
 
27
0.82
 
35
3.66
567
 
10
1.07
 
7
6.06
140
 
26
0.84
 
42
3.37
1,105
 
73
0.39
 
38
3.53
733
 
82
0.29
 
100
1.88
433
 
19
0.90
 
22
4.36
1,006
 
89
0.26
 
27
4.01
959
 
84
0.29
 
28
3.96
236
 
60
0.49
 
16
4.63
1,401
 
106
0.14
 
89
2.12
2,506
 
2
1.91
 
3
7.92
886
 
92
0.26
 
51
2.97
312
 
81
0.30
 
53
2.95
941
 
54
0.52
 
69
2.56
200
 
105
0.14
 
37
3.57
145
 
4
1.31
 
50
2.98
346
 
71
0.41
 
1
8.70
125
 
49
0.58
 
14
4.88
86
 
48
0.58
 
62
2.79
295
 
64
0.46
 
19
4.55
1,356
 
31
0.78
 
76
2.45
544
 
1
3.55
 
2
8.33
26
 
7
1.19
 
79
2.38
301
 
41
0.63
 
49
3.00
686
 
38
0.71
 
8
5.87
541
 
77
0.35
 
93
2.04
250
 
43
0.61
 
48
3.06
944
 
36
0.76
 
23
4.34
457
 
87
0.27
 
103
1.79
284
 
18
0.92
 
26
4.02
233
 
79
0.33
 
34
3.68
169
 
34
0.77
 
29
3.90
320
 
53
0.52
 
55
2.95
908
 
20
0.88
 
20
4.50
488
 
25
0.84
 
113
1.69
3,246
 
32
0.77
 
88
2.16
1,374
 
51
0.55
 
24
4.31
121
 
101
0.17
 
40
3.50
296
 
16
0.96
 
25
4.15
954
 
85
0.27
 
115
1.63
311
 
66
0.44
 
95
2.00
1,323
 
74
0.38
 
85
2.25
500
 
11
1.05
 
58
2.89
2,422
 
57
0.50
 
67
2.60
828
 
3
1.54
 
10
5.79
3,125
 
107
0.14
 
18
4.55
505
 
45
0.60
 
21
4.45
469
Slipping Counties
 
70
0.41
 
214
0.66
1,996
 
59
0.50
 
172
0.94
2,033
 
65
0.46
 
124
1.53
1,065
 
86
0.27
 
136
1.35
1,050
 
93
0.25
 
232
0.53
2,485
 
39
0.71
 
187
0.87
3,121
 
58
0.50
 
236
0.48
1,878
 
55
0.51
 
224
0.57
1,592
 
61
0.49
 
190
0.84
723
 
83
0.29
 
140
1.29
394
 
14
0.99
 
239
0.45
1,104
 
108
0.14
 
158
1.10
553
 
29
0.80
 
125
1.50
3,384
 
109
0.13
 
159
1.09
1,485
 
28
0.81
 
225
0.56
2,504
 
97
0.19
 
210
0.67
1,505
 
88
0.27
 
183
0.89
1,927
 
68
0.42
 
199
0.77
1,182
 
44
0.61
 
247
0.39
520
 
90
0.26
 
128
1.48
412
 
40
0.68
 
119
1.59
383
 
52
0.53
 
227
0.55
1,291
 
9
1.16
 
182
0.90
1,464
 
24
0.85
 
167
0.99
1,330
 
99
0.17
 
139
1.32
2,297
 
5
1.28
 
241
0.44
4,099
 
104
0.15
 
120
1.58
899
 
94
0.25
 
118
1.59
829
 
67
0.42
 
223
0.58
2,971
 
63
0.47
 
226
0.55
1,281
 
35
0.76
 
221
0.60
3,000
 
13
1.00
 
176
0.93
1,410
 
96
0.21
 
216
0.65
1,870
 
100
0.17
 
211
0.66
1,518
 
102
0.17
 
149
1.21
917
 
98
0.19
 
163
1.04
776
 
37
0.72
 
196
0.78
3,340
 
69
0.41
 
151
1.19
682
 
23
0.87
 
219
0.62
2,578
 
75
0.35
 
251
0.23
436
 
50
0.55
 
162
1.04
1,356
 
33
0.77
 
189
0.87
4,424
 
8
1.18
 
186
0.88
461
 
56
0.51
 
246
0.40
752
 
21
0.88
 
138
1.33
840
 
78
0.34
 
208
0.68
593
 
91
0.26
 
127
1.49
818
 
42
0.62
 
244
0.41
1,705
 
76
0.35
 
195
0.79
1,534
 
6
1.24
 
192
0.82
1,590
 
72
0.41
 
217
0.63
2,708
 
30
0.80
 
164
1.02
594
Gaining Counties
 
233
-0.53
 
101
1.82
280
 
208
-0.35
 
17
4.59
706
 
141
-0.01
 
109
1.72
2,714
 
150
-0.05
 
92
2.06
941
 
118
0.10
 
90
2.11
1,497
 
228
-0.48
 
47
3.09
467
 
185
-0.21
 
83
2.34
306
 
218
-0.42
 
66
2.62
1,955
 
238
-0.60
 
32
3.81
381
 
241
-0.64
 
102
1.79
397
 
131
0.05
 
77
2.41
1,739
 
222
-0.45
 
12
5.21
667
 
129
0.06
 
9
5.86
1,210
 
202
-0.31
 
97
1.94
474
 
221
-0.43
 
64
2.65
464
 
227
-0.47
 
96
1.99
462
 
207
-0.34
 
86
2.22
2,580
 
249
-0.98
 
60
2.82
765
 
230
-0.48
 
82
2.36
1,563
 
235
-0.56
 
33
3.81
900
 
226
-0.46
 
106
1.75
291
 
157
-0.07
 
46
3.12
2,283
 
110
0.12
 
81
2.37
476
 
166
-0.11
 
5
6.49
574
 
181
-0.19
 
13
4.98
3,710
 
170
-0.13
 
104
1.79
512
 
203
-0.32
 
15
4.78
263
 
128
0.06
 
74
2.47
290
 
123
0.09
 
99
1.90
1,182
 
229
-0.48
 
94
2.01
203
 
127
0.07
 
71
2.50
246
 
196
-0.26
 
54
2.95
349
 
173
-0.15
 
61
2.82
1,423
 
145
-0.04
 
43
3.33
620
 
253
-1.42
 
105
1.79
1,083
 
197
-0.27
 
52
2.95
453
 
167
-0.11
 
45
3.16
1,144
 
184
-0.20
 
73
2.48
372
 
139
0.01
 
111
1.70
359
 
240
-0.63
 
11
5.50
652
 
171
-0.13
 
44
3.26
222
 
116
0.10
 
4
6.61
1,226
 
245
-0.78
 
80
2.38
1,033
 
223
-0.45
 
87
2.21
324
 
237
-0.57
 
112
1.69
120
 
130
0.05
 
108
1.73
1,702
 
146
-0.04
 
107
1.74
351
 
242
-0.67
 
63
2.69
382
 
165
-0.10
 
98
1.91
267
 
168
-0.12
 
68
2.57
1,277
 
147
-0.05
 
116
1.62
376
 
136
0.03
 
59
2.88
679
 
239
-0.62
 
78
2.40
1,453
 
215
-0.40
 
56
2.91
106
 
156
-0.07
 
117
1.62
1,321
 
112
0.12
 
75
2.46
125
 
120
0.10
 
41
3.39
853
 
142
-0.03
 
110
1.71
477
 
190
-0.24
 
31
3.82
489
 
135
0.04
 
72
2.49
536
Lagging Counties
 
236
-0.57
 
252
0.21
944
 
114
0.11
 
166
0.99
2,142
 
195
-0.25
 
203
0.73
2,076
 
115
0.11
 
201
0.74
1,623
 
143
-0.04
 
157
1.11
1,458
 
231
-0.52
 
135
1.36
298
 
191
-0.24
 
170
0.95
1,480
 
119
0.10
 
228
0.54
1,482
 
193
-0.25
 
233
0.52
966
 
199
-0.27
 
126
1.50
407
 
153
-0.06
 
235
0.49
1,016
 
201
-0.31
 
134
1.36
893
 
149
-0.05
 
237
0.47
432
 
188
-0.23
 
212
0.66
913
 
113
0.11
 
169
0.96
2,324
 
216
-0.41
 
142
1.28
1,663
 
175
-0.16
 
154
1.13
449
 
126
0.07
 
165
1.01
1,994
 
132
0.04
 
230
0.54
1,311
 
164
-0.09
 
129
1.48
275
 
254
-3.11
 
253
0.00
31
 
225
-0.46
 
231
0.53
1,693
 
214
-0.40
 
207
0.68
1,185
 
248
-0.83
 
153
1.15
263
 
151
-0.05
 
174
0.94
2,356
 
122
0.10
 
180
0.92
1,314
 
177
-0.17
 
245
0.40
2,742
 
169
-0.12
 
143
1.27
638
 
198
-0.27
 
130
1.46
209
 
246
-0.79
 
155
1.12
541
 
189
-0.23
 
146
1.25
647
 
180
-0.18
 
197
0.77
2,602
 
205
-0.33
 
184
0.89
1,707
 
213
-0.39
 
191
0.83
2,299
 
194
-0.25
 
188
0.87
1,043
 
209
-0.36
 
200
0.76
659
 
161
-0.08
 
141
1.28
552
 
160
-0.08
 
168
0.97
2,079
 
232
-0.53
 
229
0.54
1,867
 
174
-0.16
 
177
0.93
1,525
 
178
-0.18
 
205
0.72
845
 
158
-0.07
 
238
0.46
875
 
162
-0.08
 
150
1.19
1,020
 
179
-0.18
 
121
1.57
1,167
 
117
0.10
 
145
1.26
643
 
252
-1.13
 
132
1.39
437
 
125
0.07
 
250
0.30
1,005
 
163
-0.09
 
243
0.42
2,610
 
183
-0.20
 
240
0.45
1,777
 
172
-0.14
 
204
0.72
1,970
 
206
-0.34
 
206
0.69
1,457
 
204
-0.32
 
175
0.94
644
 
140
0.01
 
253
0.00
250
 
182
-0.20
 
161
1.04
2,033
 
154
-0.06
 
133
1.36
2,081
 
224
-0.46
 
147
1.23
902
 
220
-0.42
 
144
1.27
479
 
159
-0.08
 
218
0.63
1,445
 
251
-1.02
 
156
1.12
1,629
 
212
-0.39
 
179
0.92
437
 
187
-0.22
 
123
1.53
1,324
 
244
-0.76
 
193
0.81
496
 
152
-0.06
 
249
0.31
648
 
121
0.10
 
178
0.93
1,091
 
217
-0.41
 
171
0.95
743
 
186
-0.21
 
202
0.74
684
 
250
-0.98
 
147
1.23
246
 
148
-0.05
 
137
1.35
1,205
 
134
0.04
 
215
0.65
929
 
219
-0.42
 
198
0.77
1,435
 
234
-0.55
 
234
0.50
200
 
133
0.04
 
185
0.88
691
 
192
-0.25
 
152
1.16
348
 
137
0.01
 
213
0.66
458
 
176
-0.17
 
222
0.60
1,176
 
144
-0.04
 
220
0.62
814
 
247
-0.83
 
131
1.40
3,180
 
211
-0.39
 
172
0.94
107
 
124
0.09
 
160
1.06
668
 
200
-0.30
 
209
0.67
2,546
 
155
-0.06
 
194
0.80
2,512
 
210
-0.38
 
122
1.54
66
 
138
0.01
 
242
0.43
3,059
 
243
-0.74
 
181
0.91
1,545
 
111
0.12
 
248
0.38
792
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
0.13
 
1.61
273,763
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
-0.17
 
-0.23
2,567,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1500N_400000_LSGL
 
   
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HillWalker
HockleyWaller
HoodWard
HopkinsWashington
HoustonWebb
HowardWharton
HudspethWheeler
HuntWichita
HutchinsonWilbarger
IrionWillacy
JackWilliamson
JacksonWilson
JasperWinkler
Jeff DavisWise
JeffersonWood
Jim HoggYoakum
Jim WellsYoung
JohnsonZapata
JonesZavala
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