Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Educational Services Earnings Growth
Across Texas Counties
Real* Educational Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Educational Services
Earnings Growth
Texas:
2010-2022 = 6.07%
2022 = 4.76%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real educational services earnings growth across all of Texas' 254 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Texas Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real educational services earnings growth of Texas' 254 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Educational Services
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Educational Services
Earnings Growth
Texas:
2010-2022 = 6.07%
2022 = 4.76%
This figure displays the 254 counties of Texas as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real educational services earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real educational services earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real educational services earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 6.07%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 6.07% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real educational services earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (6.07%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 75 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 33 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 17 counties whose most recent (2022) real educational services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.76%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 91 counties whose real educational services earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 254 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 6.07% over 2010-2022 and 4.76% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real educational services earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (6.07%) and near-term (4.76%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real educational services earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (6.07%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Texas average (4.76%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real educational services earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (6.07%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (4.76%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real educational services earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (6.07%) and near-term (4.76%).
   
 
Summary of Texas' 254 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(4.76%)
Above
(4.76%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(6.07%)
62
13
75
Below
(6.07%)
29
4
33
 
91
17
108
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Texas:
2010-2022 = 6.07%
2022 = 4.76%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Texas counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Texas' average annual real educational services earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 6.07%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.76%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real educational services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Texas' 254 counties, just 13 (5%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Texas:
2010-2022 = 6.07%
2022 = 4.76%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 62 Texas counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real educational services earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 6.07%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 4.76%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real educational services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Observe that 62 (24%) of Texas' 254 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Texas:
2010-2022 = 6.07%
2022 = 4.76%
This figure shows the distribution of the 4 Texas counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real educational services earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 6.07%), while they outpaced Texas' average near-term (2022 = 4.76%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real educational services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Texas' 254 counties, only 2% (4) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Texas:
2010-2022 = 6.07%
2022 = 4.76%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 29 Texas counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real educational services earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 6.07%) as well as near-term (2022 = 4.76%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real educational services earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
11% of Texas' counties, 29 of 254, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Texas
Real* Educational Services Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
30
12.52
 
15
11.23
8,500
 
49
8.40
 
19
7.04
74,846
 
51
8.16
 
14
11.95
73,396
 
20
14.79
 
4
42.03
28,707
 
41
9.71
 
11
15.04
5,055
 
28
12.84
 
7
21.44
3,795
 
74
6.21
 
25
4.91
4,638,289
 
18
15.60
 
10
16.17
135,006
 
25
13.73
 
3
60.87
24,176
 
68
6.41
 
18
7.37
569,357
 
46
8.96
 
24
5.93
72,737
 
55
7.87
 
12
14.17
1,095,606
 
52
8.16
 
22
6.66
12,761
Slipping Counties
 
24
13.75
 
129
-5.46
4,644
 
67
6.64
 
106
-2.24
10,208
 
45
9.10
 
130
-5.47
14,391
 
39
10.12
 
105
-2.22
161,950
 
33
12.08
 
137
-6.90
13,324
 
75
6.15
 
49
0.02
87,367
 
9
69.41
 
112
-2.44
40
 
42
9.29
 
34
2.97
446,492
 
71
6.28
 
70
-1.16
85
 
50
8.35
 
95
-1.94
56,035
 
19
14.92
 
164
-96.00
1
 
36
11.43
 
114
-2.70
72
 
22
14.74
 
150
-12.50
7
 
66
6.76
 
27
4.21
196,234
 
54
7.91
 
90
-1.92
102
 
27
12.94
 
120
-3.85
125
 
2
252.21
 
154
-15.91
37
 
70
6.30
 
62
-0.69
223,411
 
43
9.20
 
33
3.24
189,881
 
3
249.18
 
88
-1.87
262
 
69
6.33
 
41
1.98
77,178
 
61
7.16
 
48
0.57
15,069
 
14
25.88
 
81
-1.68
527
 
10
59.75
 
82
-1.68
117
 
37
10.93
 
28
4.20
2,831
 
38
10.76
 
127
-4.62
165
 
64
6.86
 
116
-2.90
67
 
62
6.96
 
35
2.82
44,583
 
59
7.52
 
36
2.72
20,692
 
12
44.98
 
122
-4.35
110
 
63
6.93
 
57
-0.10
4,165
 
5
131.80
 
97
-2.06
95
 
17
16.65
 
115
-2.75
212
 
32
12.19
 
158
-25.66
84
 
65
6.81
 
145
-8.33
44
 
6
130.34
 
107
-2.25
87
 
7
89.55
 
163
-87.65
20
 
47
8.63
 
31
3.96
172,866
 
4
206.27
 
104
-2.17
45
 
31
12.26
 
72
-1.36
145
 
35
11.52
 
118
-3.28
177
 
44
9.10
 
93
-1.93
29,635
 
8
69.48
 
143
-7.95
81
 
60
7.17
 
89
-1.90
26,945
 
15
21.31
 
102
-2.13
92
 
16
18.51
 
160
-30.63
77
 
11
46.68
 
157
-25.00
3
 
34
11.99
 
97
-2.06
95
 
48
8.59
 
58
-0.24
23,433
 
26
13.13
 
84
-1.82
162
 
58
7.57
 
102
-2.13
92
 
73
6.22
 
61
-0.38
96,955
 
1
443.61
 
77
-1.57
125
 
13
40.01
 
50
0.00
3
 
57
7.62
 
37
2.56
21,358
 
23
14.13
 
79
-1.64
360
 
29
12.77
 
126
-4.56
3,244
 
56
7.64
 
40
2.04
32,798
 
21
14.77
 
59
-0.25
4,816
 
40
9.81
 
67
-1.10
10,820
 
72
6.23
 
75
-1.44
52,530
 
53
8.07
 
44
1.04
204,150
Gaining Counties
 
87
4.82
 
17
10.00
50,865
 
79
5.70
 
13
12.64
46,308
 
86
5.20
 
16
10.26
1,168,819
 
84
5.26
 
9
19.10
32,551
Lagging Counties
 
83
5.29
 
32
3.36
1,097,271
 
102
-0.77
 
79
-1.64
60
 
95
3.36
 
68
-1.10
90
 
88
4.73
 
46
0.65
2,055,740
 
90
4.32
 
64
-0.79
3,378
 
81
5.39
 
110
-2.31
127
 
85
5.21
 
87
-1.86
39,538
 
104
-0.91
 
128
-5.17
165
 
76
5.92
 
86
-1.85
212
 
106
-3.78
 
131
-5.56
17
 
94
3.60
 
113
-2.58
66,931
 
99
1.96
 
97
-2.06
95
 
77
5.75
 
47
0.59
105,810
 
97
2.67
 
30
3.99
5,610
 
78
5.70
 
109
-2.26
56,260
 
96
3.26
 
121
-4.18
14,180
 
103
-0.81
 
85
-1.83
107
 
108
-11.27
 
165
-100.00
0
 
89
4.48
 
133
-5.72
96,940
 
107
-7.27
 
135
-6.67
28
 
92
3.64
 
72
-1.36
145
 
80
5.45
 
74
-1.38
9,717
 
82
5.36
 
60
-0.28
97,317
 
101
0.62
 
90
-1.92
102
 
105
-2.48
 
107
-2.25
87
 
98
2.60
 
147
-9.09
30
 
100
1.08
 
138
-7.14
52
 
93
3.61
 
50
0.00
15
 
91
3.98
 
26
4.35
174,619
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
38
2.42
1,017
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
68
-1.10
90
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
119
-3.71
1,167
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
1
135.29
2,080
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
122
-4.35
22
 
U
U
 
71
-1.35
18,276
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
6
34.12
6,195
 
U
U
 
144
-8.09
125
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
331
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
150
-12.50
7
 
U
U
 
65
-0.81
5,366
 
U
U
 
S
S
6,916
 
U
U
 
29
4.06
4,075
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
159
-27.56
92
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
134
-6.25
120
 
U
U
 
124
-4.43
1,381
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
43
1.54
11,790
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
156
-22.88
647
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
145
-8.33
11
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
50
0.00
30
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
8
20.11
7,071
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
125
-4.44
1,505
 
U
U
 
5
41.26
4,334
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
116
-2.90
67
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
1,044
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
90
-1.92
102
 
U
U
 
76
-1.52
65
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
155
-18.52
22
 
U
U
 
50
0.00
0
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
135
-6.67
14
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
94
-1.94
4,352
 
U
U
 
148
-9.26
392
 
U
U
 
149
-12.25
1,970
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
2
62.18
5,853
 
U
U
 
50
0.00
0
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
50
0.00
3
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
83
-1.71
115
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
172
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
56
-0.05
10,372
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
111
-2.32
2,358
 
U
U
 
153
-14.00
86
 
U
U
 
139
-7.21
2,419
 
U
U
 
42
1.76
30,369
 
U
U
 
162
-73.85
17
 
U
U
 
161
-37.50
55
 
U
U
 
S
S
100
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
7,136
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
20
6.84
13,411
 
U
U
 
39
2.33
483
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
63
-0.74
4,850
 
U
U
 
21
6.69
4,064
 
U
U
 
96
-2.00
147
 
U
U
 
78
-1.60
185
 
U
U
 
S
S
37
 
U
U
 
150
-12.50
7
 
U
U
 
97
-2.06
95
 
U
U
 
132
-5.60
2,530
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
45
0.67
13,448
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
142
-7.92
7,661
 
U
U
 
S
S
57
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
165
-100.00
0
 
U
U
 
141
-7.88
2,395
 
U
U
 
140
-7.69
24
 
U
U
 
S
S
1,460
 
U
U
 
23
6.29
13,355
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
101
-2.10
981
 
U
U
 
66
-0.82
1,579
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
6.07
 
4.76
14,647,187
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.32
 
4.65
254,764,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_611500_LSGL
 
   
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