Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Information Earnings Growth
Across Texas Counties
Real* Information
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Information
Earnings Growth
Texas:
2010-2022 = 4.22%
2022 = 5.43%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real information earnings growth across all of Texas' 254 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Texas Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real information earnings growth of Texas' 254 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Information
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Information
Earnings Growth
Texas:
2010-2022 = 4.22%
2022 = 5.43%
This figure displays the 254 counties of Texas as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real information earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real information earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real information earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 4.22%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 4.22% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real information earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (4.22%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 50 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 90 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 57 counties whose most recent (2022) real information earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (5.43%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 83 counties whose real information earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 254 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 4.22% over 2010-2022 and 5.43% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real information earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (4.22%) and near-term (5.43%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real information earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (4.22%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Texas average (5.43%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real information earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (4.22%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (5.43%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real information earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (4.22%) and near-term (5.43%).
   
 
Summary of Texas' 254 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(5.43%)
Above
(5.43%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(4.22%)
23
27
50
Below
(4.22%)
60
30
90
 
83
57
140
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Texas:
2010-2022 = 4.22%
2022 = 5.43%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Texas counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Texas' average annual real information earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.22%) as well as near-term (2022 = 5.43%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real information earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Texas' 254 counties, just 27 (11%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Slipping Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Slipping Counties
Texas:
2010-2022 = 4.22%
2022 = 5.43%
This figure depicts the distribution of the 23 Texas counties classified as Slipping (top-left quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real information earnings growth rate outpaced the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.22%), while they trailed the statewide average near-term (2022 = 5.43%). Again, each county is identified by it's corresponding ranking based on its average annual real information earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Only 23 (9%) of Texas' 254 counties are classified as Slipping (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Gaining Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Gaining Counties
white dot
Texas:
2010-2022 = 4.22%
2022 = 5.43%
This figure shows the distribution of the 30 Texas counties classified as Gaining (bottom-right quadrant), in that their long-term average annual real information earnings growth rate posted below the average statewide (2010-2022 = 4.22%), while they outpaced Texas' average near-term (2022 = 5.43%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on its average annual real information earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Texas' 254 counties, only 12% (30) are featured as Gaining (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
Lagging Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Lagging Counties
white dot
Texas:
2010-2022 = 4.22%
2022 = 5.43%
This figure depicts the distributions of the 60 Texas counties classified as Lagging (bottom-left quadrant). These counties trailed the statewide average annual real information earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 4.22%) as well as near-term (2022 = 5.43%). Again, each county is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real information earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
24% of Texas' counties, 60 of 254, are characterized here as Lagging (). Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Texas
Real* Information Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
9
16.88
 
48
11.85
74,319
 
25
8.96
 
30
25.00
140
 
14
15.18
 
50
11.49
23,990
 
45
5.02
 
33
22.07
1,947
 
20
12.14
 
8
44.90
6,328
 
33
6.76
 
75
5.92
84,527
 
12
15.42
 
34
21.49
23,001
 
34
6.51
 
72
6.22
681,327
 
15
13.84
 
11
32.70
91,425
 
40
5.52
 
16
26.04
4,796
 
29
7.79
 
17
26.00
63
 
7
17.12
 
40
15.46
622,768
 
1
31.54
 
28
25.48
261
 
6
20.97
 
12
31.86
17,260
 
31
7.54
 
9
38.39
14,058
 
2
28.17
 
37
20.00
18
 
16
13.76
 
1
185.95
2,442
 
32
6.80
 
73
6.06
1,804
 
3
26.44
 
4
86.33
19,244
 
28
8.41
 
41
15.01
224,909
 
4
24.47
 
30
25.00
180
 
48
4.62
 
66
7.18
16,639
 
24
9.19
 
32
22.16
38,221
 
49
4.48
 
51
11.04
2,524
 
5
24.26
 
22
25.69
641
 
11
15.85
 
3
95.10
7,207
 
17
13.71
 
6
67.24
433,639
Slipping Counties
 
8
16.97
 
140
-1.20
3,791
 
23
9.34
 
174
-6.10
9,679
 
19
12.85
 
153
-2.57
3,333
 
27
8.55
 
168
-4.91
891
 
22
11.54
 
121
0.87
16,030
 
43
5.13
 
175
-6.83
1,829
 
35
6.22
 
176
-6.98
3,106
 
30
7.63
 
159
-3.13
6,740
 
37
6.00
 
109
2.04
9,574
 
36
6.01
 
146
-1.72
87,275
 
42
5.19
 
96
3.19
3,141
 
13
15.32
 
133
-0.18
6,649
 
10
16.14
 
144
-1.63
17,282
 
21
12.03
 
181
-12.22
1,379
 
26
8.56
 
134
-0.22
10,259
 
38
5.90
 
88
4.15
55,574
 
39
5.82
 
145
-1.64
2,334
 
44
5.05
 
81
5.14
31,622
 
47
4.67
 
99
2.95
12,490
 
18
13.17
 
83
4.97
8,023,145
 
41
5.30
 
177
-8.79
7,493
 
50
4.34
 
92
3.82
9,279
 
46
4.81
 
82
5.06
15,768
Gaining Counties
 
128
-2.23
 
71
6.25
22,139
 
126
-1.80
 
70
6.36
155,153
 
132
-2.95
 
42
14.47
15,461
 
88
1.42
 
62
7.70
40,719
 
139
-5.51
 
69
6.49
45,383
 
106
0.04
 
39
16.18
5,537
 
66
2.97
 
68
6.63
1,368
 
94
0.99
 
65
7.29
5,552
 
71
2.49
 
78
5.59
4,080
 
84
1.58
 
54
9.64
64,798
 
124
-1.62
 
46
12.31
7,680
 
57
3.55
 
58
8.48
13,292
 
75
2.24
 
57
8.50
983
 
56
3.65
 
10
35.81
15,758
 
98
0.59
 
36
20.07
4,666
 
80
1.90
 
67
7.05
2,672
 
61
3.34
 
53
10.34
51,473
 
79
1.91
 
74
5.96
9,868
 
58
3.51
 
44
12.66
881
 
74
2.31
 
14
27.52
63,626
 
131
-2.88
 
61
8.35
1,388
 
76
2.18
 
49
11.63
2,917
 
73
2.33
 
13
30.75
1,875
 
95
0.94
 
79
5.59
16,447
 
111
-0.12
 
76
5.73
2,932
 
97
0.70
 
45
12.39
1,179,869
 
102
0.36
 
63
7.31
5,106
 
82
1.77
 
64
7.29
7,504
 
90
1.23
 
52
10.41
2,153
 
63
3.18
 
59
8.48
50,144
Lagging Counties
 
103
0.11
 
105
2.22
2,537
 
122
-1.46
 
98
2.97
2,808
 
92
1.11
 
120
0.88
1,781,254
 
93
1.02
 
139
-0.95
8,973
 
125
-1.68
 
89
4.04
6,767
 
120
-1.15
 
95
3.30
12,669
 
53
3.99
 
180
-11.61
1,614
 
136
-4.58
 
158
-3.10
4,756
 
138
-5.36
 
152
-2.51
659
 
64
3.13
 
84
4.73
3,399,808
 
59
3.40
 
85
4.64
8,321,177
 
86
1.48
 
172
-5.68
6,240
 
104
0.10
 
163
-4.33
1,613
 
134
-3.04
 
183
-26.62
25,717
 
83
1.73
 
119
0.89
353,641
 
91
1.20
 
156
-2.97
8,107
 
116
-0.80
 
91
3.82
1,683
 
51
4.10
 
138
-0.76
7,190
 
96
0.77
 
106
2.20
28,493
 
101
0.38
 
115
1.09
58,397
 
135
-3.80
 
182
-15.46
2,330
 
81
1.88
 
111
1.88
3,283,203
 
62
3.29
 
114
1.52
198,144
 
67
2.89
 
165
-4.42
1,578
 
99
0.53
 
118
0.98
9,970
 
114
-0.71
 
136
-0.38
7,507
 
89
1.29
 
110
2.01
10,639
 
110
-0.04
 
150
-2.15
5,314
 
137
-4.65
 
137
-0.72
1,654
 
133
-3.00
 
97
3.15
64,115
 
60
3.37
 
103
2.34
17,158
 
108
0.00
 
126
0.00
0
 
100
0.53
 
160
-3.40
20,183
 
112
-0.46
 
135
-0.23
6,605
 
52
4.06
 
143
-1.47
3,684
 
108
0.00
 
126
0.00
0
 
78
1.99
 
154
-2.61
1,680
 
119
-1.14
 
93
3.63
73,889
 
54
3.88
 
113
1.76
4,340
 
68
2.83
 
157
-3.02
3,759
 
87
1.43
 
107
2.19
745
 
113
-0.48
 
178
-9.52
2,101
 
129
-2.32
 
161
-3.42
1,356
 
118
-0.95
 
123
0.59
113,070
 
70
2.73
 
104
2.25
2,906
 
77
2.17
 
126
0.00
2,081
 
123
-1.50
 
101
2.84
832
 
117
-0.89
 
169
-4.91
62,788
 
72
2.39
 
116
1.03
12,609
 
121
-1.20
 
87
4.16
119,575
 
130
-2.55
 
126
0.00
0
 
140
-13.46
 
126
0.00
0
 
55
3.67
 
170
-4.97
26,521
 
105
0.04
 
122
0.65
4,482
 
65
3.11
 
108
2.11
7,644
 
85
1.55
 
141
-1.25
7,125
 
115
-0.75
 
148
-1.99
4,186
 
69
2.73
 
112
1.88
4,508
 
107
0.03
 
90
3.86
6,398
 
127
-1.85
 
86
4.16
5,880
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
S
S
2,462
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
117
1.01
39,508
 
U
U
 
S
S
479
 
U
U
 
173
-6.08
1,777
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
56
8.70
183,798
 
U
U
 
18
25.88
107
 
U
U
 
S
S
975
 
U
U
 
35
21.33
1,866
 
U
U
 
47
11.89
1,176
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
102
2.45
878
 
U
U
 
80
5.55
1,408
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
126
0.00
0
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
147
-1.82
2,646
 
U
U
 
60
8.35
869
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
167
-4.75
5,676
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
1,585
 
U
U
 
15
26.32
48
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
94
3.61
660
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
521
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
2
118.96
25,940
 
U
U
 
27
25.49
571
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
5
71.43
12
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
125
0.24
1,259
 
U
U
 
38
17.56
1,573
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
18
25.88
107
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
171
-5.20
929
 
U
U
 
24
25.58
162
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
164
-4.38
612
 
U
U
 
S
S
232
 
U
U
 
S
S
857
 
U
U
 
126
0.00
0
 
U
U
 
21
25.81
195
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
55
9.09
6,154
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
7
50.00
3
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
166
-4.74
1,044
 
U
U
 
151
-2.47
1,222
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
25
25.53
295
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
26
25.50
379
 
U
U
 
29
25.26
243
 
U
U
 
100
2.91
565
 
U
U
 
43
13.08
415
 
U
U
 
179
-10.80
1,388
 
U
U
 
155
-2.91
533
 
U
U
 
77
5.62
432
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
162
-3.63
1,220
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
124
0.59
71,857
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
18
25.88
107
 
U
U
 
149
-2.14
50,925
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
40,365
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
142
-1.25
630
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
23
25.67
803
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
4.22
 
5.43
31,423,573
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
5.16
 
0.55
566,943,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_610900_LSGL
 
   
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