Leading, Slipping, Gaining, Lagging Analysis:
Assessing Mining Earnings Growth
Across Texas Counties
Real* Mining
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Mining
Earnings Growth
Texas:
2010-2022 = 9.49%
2022 = 31.44%
Borrowing from an approach that sometimes appears in the finance sections of the popular press, LSGL analysis is a handy and versatile way to compare, portray and classify the patterns of real mining earnings growth across all of Texas' 254 counties. In finance, this technique is used for comparing and assessing the market performance of individual securities or across industry sectors. For example, the performance of the 30 stocks contained within Dow are compared with one another over the past week in contrast to their performance over the past month using the Dow's respective averages as the points of reference.
Here in this Texas Regional Economic Analysis Project report, we adopt this approach to gauge and compare the real mining earnings growth of Texas' 254 counties over the latest available year (2022) against the backdrop of their growth over the long term period (2010-2022). In so doing we classify their growth and performance into 4 broad categories: Leading, Slipping, Gaining and Lagging.
Real* Mining
Earnings Growth
County vs Statewide Average: 2010-2022 and 2022
Real* Mining
Earnings Growth
Texas:
2010-2022 = 9.49%
2022 = 31.44%
This figure displays the 254 counties of Texas as dots on a scattergram, with the vertical axis representing the average annual real mining earnings growth rate over the long-term period (2010-2022), and the horizontal axis representing the real mining earnings growth rate for the near-term (2022).
This figure sets apart those counties whose long-term real mining earnings growth exceeded the statewide average of 9.49%, by portraying them in the top two quadrants demarcated at 9.49% on the vertical axis. County whose long-term average annual real mining earnings growth rate trailed the statewide average (9.49%) are distributed in the bottom two quadrants. In all, 0 counties surpassed the statewide average over 2010-2022, while 0 counties fell below.
Similarly, the two quadrants on the right of this figure present the positions of the 0 counties whose most recent (2022) real mining earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (31.44%). The two quadrants on the left feature those 0 counties whose real mining earnings growth over 2022 trailed the statewide average.
Accordingly, each quadrant portrays the performance of all 254 counties corresponding with their long-term (2010-2022) and near-term (2022) performance relative to their respective statewide averages of 9.49% over 2010-2022 and 31.44% over 2022:
Leading counties () (top-right quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real mining earnings growth rate surpassed the statewide average both long-term (9.49%) and near-term (31.44%).
Slipping counties () (top-left quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real mining earnings growth rate exceeded the statewide average (9.49%), but whose near-term growth has "slipped" by falling below the Texas average (31.44%).
Gaining counties () (bottom-right quadrant)...are counties whose long-term average annual real mining earnings growth rate fell below the statewide average (9.49%), but whose near-term growth has "gained" by registering above the average (31.44%) statewide.
Lagging counties () (bottom-left quadrant)...are counties whose average annual real mining earnings growth rate fell under the statewide average both long-term (9.49%) and near-term (31.44%).
   
 
Summary of Texas' 254 County Totals
 
Short Term Average
 
 
Below
(31.44%)
Above
(31.44%)
 
Long
Term
Average
Above
(9.49%)
0
0
0
Below
(9.49%)
0
0
0
 
0
0
0
 
   
Leading Counties
2022 vs. 2010-2022 Averages
Leading Counties
white dot
Texas:
2010-2022 = 9.49%
2022 = 31.44%
Turning attention to the top-right quadrant from the discussion above, this figure features the distribution of the Texas counties classified as Leading. These counties surpassed Texas' average annual real mining earnings growth both long-term (2010-2022 = 9.49%) as well as near-term (2022 = 31.44%). Each is identified by its corresponding ranking based on it's average annual real mining earnings growth rate over 2010-2022.
Of Texas' 254 counties, just 31 (12%) are classified within the Leading () category. Those counties ranked by their long-term average include:
   
 
Texas
Real* Mining Earnings Growth
County vs. Statewide Average
 
2010-2022
 
2022
 
 
Leading Counties
 
32
15.56
 
60
33.38
230,593
 
7
42.85
 
3
112.71
18,242
 
9
36.52
 
2
129.25
11,554
 
10
34.96
 
10
65.94
54,024
 
45
12.30
 
1
157.48
60,884
 
2
126.58
 
33
41.99
12,592
 
5
53.19
 
43
36.27
2,107,882
 
44
12.61
 
47
35.04
32,874
 
22
22.28
 
4
100.79
187,811
 
28
17.72
 
36
40.87
11,655,299
 
1
198.77
 
44
35.76
224
 
13
28.46
 
23
44.83
273,418
 
16
26.43
 
19
49.39
148,569
 
6
52.77
 
15
60.43
92,299
 
43
12.65
 
65
31.72
1,578,042
 
40
12.98
 
24
44.44
91
 
30
16.85
 
20
47.64
127,857
 
15
26.69
 
12
61.96
66,074
 
51
10.93
 
50
34.88
580
 
41
12.76
 
42
36.69
46,364
 
38
14.32
 
6
78.12
4,649
 
29
16.94
 
22
46.59
41,273
 
4
55.00
 
37
40.81
7,091
 
27
18.16
 
58
33.78
12,732,479
 
36
14.75
 
56
33.88
37,008
 
24
20.16
 
29
43.03
36,770
 
34
15.01
 
41
36.99
1,484,303
 
14
26.80
 
59
33.64
167,529
 
25
20.08
 
34
41.18
2,733,218
 
17
26.14
 
25
44.24
4,098,761
 
53
10.01
 
32
42.69
247,402
Slipping Counties
 
55
9.92
 
156
-0.34
209,923
 
3
94.79
 
135
10.62
33,015
 
37
14.49
 
74
28.58
2,167,904
 
31
16.71
 
128
13.56
7,379
 
33
15.33
 
99
21.35
87,890
 
39
13.36
 
88
24.67
57,428
 
35
14.98
 
87
25.04
50,283
 
54
9.92
 
183
-23.02
5,149
 
8
39.77
 
86
25.32
32,284
 
48
11.64
 
136
9.84
79,110
 
18
24.97
 
148
4.56
116,746
 
12
29.86
 
94
21.95
26,137
 
46
12.04
 
152
1.85
101,960
 
19
24.57
 
102
20.50
175,966
 
42
12.70
 
179
-15.92
3,079
 
50
11.28
 
163
-4.17
14,488
 
23
20.44
 
92
22.91
1,993,570
 
26
18.75
 
176
-15.27
11,328
 
49
11.28
 
115
18.17
90,577
 
56
9.83
 
144
6.11
40,887
 
47
11.99
 
169
-9.22
136,154
 
52
10.28
 
129
12.79
181,368
 
11
30.28
 
177
-15.33
60,968
 
21
22.93
 
79
26.87
2,264,039
 
20
23.49
 
118
17.08
38,885
Gaining Counties
 
102
3.24
 
61
33.11
23,638
 
145
-4.00
 
53
34.50
16,737
 
67
8.01
 
38
39.76
22,126
 
76
6.28
 
66
31.68
681,888
 
99
3.36
 
49
34.99
565,737
 
101
3.24
 
40
37.08
10,262
 
119
0.97
 
62
32.68
58,156
 
71
7.24
 
57
33.78
23,530
 
81
5.40
 
55
34.43
3,815
 
112
1.86
 
31
42.95
213
 
144
-3.41
 
14
60.83
1,359
 
75
6.57
 
17
58.41
15,781
 
57
9.18
 
45
35.52
426,011
 
72
7.20
 
18
55.42
132,013
Lagging Counties
 
129
-0.59
 
147
4.77
41,893
 
59
9.06
 
78
27.00
66,558
 
108
2.34
 
141
7.64
245,053
 
78
6.17
 
71
30.14
130,469
 
118
1.03
 
187
-26.10
10,900
 
111
1.99
 
155
0.05
7,591
 
90
4.18
 
119
17.04
33,699
 
137
-1.50
 
134
10.62
5,511
 
115
1.51
 
132
11.77
2,677
 
149
-6.59
 
193
-54.28
1,860
 
106
2.48
 
149
4.11
25,743
 
120
0.95
 
127
15.06
35,728
 
77
6.28
 
85
25.60
14,199
 
89
4.41
 
109
19.24
7,401
 
131
-0.61
 
185
-24.89
14,321
 
116
1.13
 
110
18.93
52,929
 
79
5.69
 
104
20.23
103,114
 
98
3.45
 
158
-2.53
101,687
 
126
-0.32
 
162
-3.93
26,060
 
73
7.10
 
124
15.45
2,346
 
136
-1.45
 
103
20.35
64,880
 
63
8.46
 
165
-4.86
9,424
 
61
8.98
 
154
0.83
6,789
 
100
3.29
 
106
20.19
24,964
 
69
7.62
 
73
29.07
30,496,502
 
105
2.77
 
84
25.87
229,481
 
92
4.12
 
150
2.95
3,035
 
70
7.52
 
125
15.16
51,589
 
117
1.05
 
130
12.65
12,056
 
124
-0.06
 
159
-2.89
96,522
 
62
8.50
 
83
25.99
334,565
 
58
9.12
 
194
-66.36
14,341
 
94
4.00
 
137
9.49
93,162
 
74
6.96
 
146
5.10
202,505
 
86
5.06
 
107
20.01
48,383
 
91
4.14
 
95
21.94
8,036
 
85
5.13
 
121
15.78
253,310
 
65
8.32
 
113
18.44
29,228
 
138
-1.96
 
160
-3.07
4,489
 
123
0.35
 
181
-21.28
16,792
 
147
-5.90
 
153
1.20
19,984
 
114
1.70
 
189
-33.62
44,547
 
66
8.04
 
166
-5.35
9,098
 
95
3.93
 
138
8.75
18,276
 
80
5.64
 
192
-44.35
11,978
 
110
2.07
 
139
8.70
6,746
 
122
0.81
 
151
2.87
33,902
 
96
3.57
 
123
15.48
15,257
 
133
-0.83
 
122
15.78
8,461
 
82
5.20
 
111
18.86
121,797
 
139
-2.10
 
145
6.01
5,979
 
150
-9.15
 
167
-5.65
9,331
 
134
-0.90
 
114
18.26
58,000
 
113
1.82
 
168
-6.46
2,722
 
127
-0.47
 
72
30.09
116,008
 
60
9.00
 
171
-10.85
19,990
 
104
2.82
 
100
20.98
15,300
 
130
-0.61
 
98
21.53
111,653
 
88
4.72
 
112
18.50
11,387
 
103
3.20
 
77
27.47
134,327
 
87
4.75
 
184
-23.86
10,888
 
125
-0.23
 
117
17.47
50,469
 
146
-4.39
 
186
-25.23
4,777
 
132
-0.82
 
182
-22.48
2,038
 
148
-6.01
 
188
-27.09
27,619
 
128
-0.54
 
93
22.76
16,889
 
135
-0.98
 
89
24.10
9,201
 
83
5.16
 
172
-10.89
9,649
 
84
5.14
 
173
-14.68
55,472
 
64
8.32
 
80
26.63
11,165
 
107
2.48
 
69
30.62
8,599
 
141
-2.51
 
157
-0.66
170,304
 
97
3.52
 
91
22.91
64,587
 
140
-2.40
 
174
-14.80
13,128
 
143
-3.20
 
82
26.01
130,430
 
93
4.05
 
105
20.22
2,105
 
68
7.67
 
116
17.82
94,315
 
109
2.07
 
75
28.15
197,787
 
121
0.84
 
68
30.84
20,926
 
142
-2.89
 
143
6.12
66,889
Undefined/Suppressed Counties
 
U
U
 
46
35.49
11,411
 
U
U
 
28
43.17
325
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
64
32.06
1,178
 
U
U
 
90
23.07
20,317
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
2,989
 
U
U
 
131
12.18
175
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
39
38.19
6,900
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
741
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
16
59.83
46,539
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
126
15.15
7,052
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
26
43.59
280
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
52
34.70
34,797
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
101
20.86
8,035
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
42
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
164
-4.76
12,477
 
U
U
 
161
-3.90
6,574
 
U
U
 
133
11.08
48,947
 
U
U
 
51
34.81
9,252
 
U
U
 
178
-15.56
38
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
30
43.01
133
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
170
-10.46
22,276
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
97
21.54
198,085
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
259
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
48
35.03
2,463
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
140
8.49
155,603
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
180
-18.66
7,578
 
U
U
 
S
S
913
 
U
U
 
76
27.58
20,804
 
U
U
 
8
74.92
22,986
 
U
U
 
120
17.02
12,601
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
38,276
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
67
31.25
84
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
63
32.43
98
 
U
U
 
9
66.67
3,325
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
108
19.34
83,440
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
191
-42.86
24
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
190
-34.89
3,748
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
175
-14.81
8,071
 
U
U
 
5
87.41
32,771
 
U
U
 
96
21.87
1,906
 
U
U
 
142
6.70
4,333
 
U
U
 
S
S
4,987
 
U
U
 
35
41.13
199
 
U
U
 
21
47.35
18,170
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
70
30.25
191,444
 
U
U
 
26
43.59
56
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
11
65.75
5,947
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
13
61.52
8,538
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
S
S
S
 
U
U
 
54
34.48
58,228
 
U
U
 
S
S
171,535
 
U
U
 
81
26.21
73,410
 
U
U
 
7
76.65
23,883
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
9.49
 
31.44
84,822,707
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
7.09
 
26.20
170,144,000
November 2023
REAP_PI_CA1600N_610200_LSGL
 
   
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